Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 70°F or higher on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 70°F in Seattle on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it suggests a strong consensus against temperatures reaching 70°F. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating minimal expectation for a temperature increase. The confidence level of 85 out of 100 further supports the reliability of this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 70°F.
• 2 Historical weather data for late March in Seattle typically shows lower temperatures.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant confidence.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.
• 5 The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.