Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 13?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 40-41°F in Seattle on March 13.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it is highly unlikely that Seattle will experience temperatures between 40-41°F on March 13. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low probability of 1% for 'YES'. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors 'NO'.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market probabilities.
• 3 Historical data may influence future temperature expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.