Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 9?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 40-41°F in Seattle on March 9.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Seattle will not fall between 40-41°F on March 9. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of temperatures reaching that range. With a confidence level of 65/100, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.