Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 13?

Market strongly favors temperatures outside 42-43°F in Seattle on March 13.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability (0.05%) that the highest temperature in Seattle will be between 42-43°F on March 13, with a consensus leaning heavily towards 'NO' at 99.95%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures outside the specified range.
• 2 The probability of 0.05% for 'YES' suggests minimal belief in this outcome.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is likely accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in the prevailing forecast.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.