Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures outside the 42-43°F range in Seattle on March 21.

Current market data indicates a 0% probability of the highest temperature in Seattle falling between 42-43°F on March 21, with a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, predicting only a 1% chance for this temperature range. This alignment suggests that the market is fairly priced with a high level of confidence.

• 1 Market probability is firmly against the 42-43°F range.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level indicates strong consensus among participants.
• 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 No imminent time pressure as expiry time is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.