Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 44-45°F in Seattle on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.75% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not fall within the 44-45°F range. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 1%. The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.

• 1 Market heavily favors NO with 99.75% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a low chance of YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 2 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.75.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.