The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 50-51°F in Seattle on March 22.
Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Seattle will not fall between 50-51°F on March 22. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a low probability of 1% for a YES outcome, suggesting strong consensus against this temperature range. The confidence level of 85/100 indicates a high degree of certainty in this prediction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.