Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 16?

The market suggests a low chance of Seattle's temperature reaching 52-53°F on March 16.

With a market probability of 9.5% for a YES outcome, the consensus indicates that the highest temperature in Seattle is unlikely to fall within the specified range. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, further supporting the NO verdict, suggesting that current weather forecasts do not favor this temperature range.

• 1 Market probability favors a NO outcome at 90.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for YES at 11%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, only 1 hour remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.