Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 7?

High confidence that Seattle's temperature will be between 54-55°F on March 7.

The market shows an overwhelming probability of 99.95% for the temperature in Seattle to fall between 54-55°F on March 7, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction, suggesting a high level of confidence in the forecast. The edge of -0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market probability is extremely high at 99.95% for the YES outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment at 99%.
• 3 The edge of -0.95 suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level is robust at 85 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, which may affect future volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.