Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 56-57°F in Seattle on March 30.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.5% for temperatures not falling between 56-57°F, indicating strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 2% for the YES outcome, suggesting minimal expectation for temperatures to reach this range. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 56°F.
• 2 Historical weather patterns in late March typically show cooler temperatures.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 4 The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.