Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on March 19?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 60-61°F in Seattle on March 19.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not fall within the 60-61°F range. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 85 out of 100.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 60°F.
• 2 High confidence in the 'NO' outcome suggests stable conditions.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is well-aligned with expectations.
• 4 Low probability for 'YES' reflects minimal anticipated temperature increases.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to any last-minute changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.