Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C or below on March 10?

The market predicts Seoul's temperature will be above 0°C on March 10.

Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above freezing, with a 100% probability for NO. The AI model also aligns with this view, indicating a low chance of temperatures reaching 0°C or below. Given the confidence level of 80/100, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability shows strong conviction against freezing temperatures.
• 2 AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with minimal divergence.
• 3 Confidence level suggests a reliable consensus among participants.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues observed in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains uncertain, which could influence future sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.