Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 12?

Market favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature reaching 10°C on March 12.

The prediction market indicates a 75.5% probability that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 10°C on March 12, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher chance for a YES outcome at 27.5%. The edge of 3 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards NO.
• 2 AI model shows a slightly more optimistic outlook for YES.
• 3 Market probability and AI probability are closely aligned.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency for new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.