Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 14?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 10°C in Seoul on March 14.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 10°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a very low likelihood of the temperature reaching the threshold. Given the confidence level of 65/100, there is some uncertainty, but overall, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 10°C.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 1%.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 7 hours, adding urgency to any new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.