Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 15?

High probability suggests Seoul's temperature will reach 10°C on March 15.

The market indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature in Seoul will be 10°C on March 15, with a probability of 96.55%. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a slightly lower probability of 93.55%. Given the edge of -3, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 60/100.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in reaching 10°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.