Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 21?

Market favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature reaching 10°C on March 21.

The prediction market shows an 82.5% probability for the NO outcome, indicating a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 10°C in Seoul on March 21. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a slight edge in market pricing but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100.

• 1 Current market probability strongly favors NO at 82.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for YES at 20.5%.
• 3 Market confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 12 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.