Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 26?

The market indicates a low chance of Seoul reaching 10°C on March 26.

Current market probabilities show a strong consensus against the highest temperature in Seoul reaching 10°C on March 26, with a NO probability of 93.3%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, albeit with slightly higher YES probabilities. This suggests a general agreement among participants that the temperature will likely remain below this threshold.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome regarding the temperature.
• 2 Current weather forecasts do not support a rise to 10°C.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with a low edge.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, allowing little room for significant changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.