Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?

High probability for Seoul's temperature to reach 11°C on March 12.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus with a 96.7% probability that the highest temperature in Seoul will be 11°C on March 12. The Pulse AI also supports this outlook with a probability of 95.2%, indicating a high level of confidence in this prediction. However, the edge of -1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong confidence in the prediction.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the prediction.
• 5 Current weather patterns support the likelihood of reaching 11°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.