Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?

The market is split on whether Seoul's temperature will reach 11°C on March 13.

With a market probability of 55% for 'YES' and 45% for 'NO', the predictions are closely contested. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a fair pricing of the market with a slight edge towards 'YES'. Confidence is moderate at 60/100, suggesting uncertainty as the expiry approaches in 8 hours.

• 1 Market probability shows a slight lean towards YES at 55%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is closely aligned, indicating fair market pricing.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of -3 suggests no significant mispricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, increasing the urgency of new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.