Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.45% for NO, it suggests a high confidence that the temperature will not reach 11°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of the YES outcome at 2.05%. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against reaching 11°C in Seoul.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, favoring NO.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 4 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.