Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 21?

Market favors temperatures below 11°C in Seoul on March 21.

The prediction market indicates a higher likelihood that the temperature in Seoul will not reach 11°C on March 21, with a NO probability of 68.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a slightly lower probability for YES at 34.5%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 11 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market leans towards NO with 68.5% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, indicating NO at 65.5%.
• 3 Confidence level at 60/100 suggests moderate certainty.
• 4 Only 11 hours remain until the market closes.
• 5 Current sentiment reflects skepticism about reaching 11°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.