Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 25?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 11°C in Seoul on March 25.

The current market probability indicates a 97.15% chance that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 11°C on March 25. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 94.15%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO outcome.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 11°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a consensus on cooler weather.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates a balanced market without significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to any potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.