Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors that Seoul's temperature won't reach 11°C on March 29.

With a market probability of 0% for a high of 11°C and a Pulse AI probability of 1%, the consensus is firmly against this temperature being reached. The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction, indicating that current weather forecasts likely support the NO outcome.

• 1 Market probability is firmly at 0% for YES and 100% for NO.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a very low chance of 1% for YES.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 1 hour remaining.
• 5 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.