Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 9?

Market predicts Seoul's temperature will not reach 11°C on March 9.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Seoul will remain below 11°C on March 9, with a 100% probability assigned to the NO outcome. The Pulse AI corroborates this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the YES outcome at 1%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level of 85.

• 1 Market shows unanimous confidence in a NO outcome for temperature.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Current weather forecasts support the NO prediction.
• 4 Market confidence is high at 85, indicating strong belief in the outcome.
• 5 No significant liquidity issues observed in this market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.