Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?

The market predicts a low chance of Seoul reaching 12°C on March 12.

Current market probabilities indicate a 7.5% chance of the highest temperature in Seoul reaching 12°C on March 12, with a strong consensus against this outcome at 92.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of this temperature being met, with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability favors a NO outcome at 92.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, indicating low temperature expectations.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 11 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge of 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.