Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?

Market favors temperatures below 12°C in Seoul on March 17.

The prediction market indicates a 61.5% probability that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 12°C on March 17, while the Pulse AI gives a slightly higher likelihood for the YES outcome at 41.5%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 19 hours, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards temperatures below 12°C.
• 2 The market probability suggests a consensus against reaching 12°C.
• 3 Pulse AI's predictions show a slight divergence from market odds.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the market's pricing.
• 5 Time pressure may influence last-minute shifts in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.