Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 22?

The market indicates a low probability for Seoul's temperature to reach 12°C on March 22.

Current market probabilities suggest a 25.50% chance of the highest temperature in Seoul being 12°C on March 22, with a stronger sentiment towards 'NO' at 74.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating a consensus that the temperature is unlikely to meet this threshold.

• 1 Market probability favors 'NO' at 74.5%, indicating skepticism about reaching 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, suggesting a consensus view.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is 52 hours, allowing for potential shifts in weather forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.