Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 23?

Market predicts Seoul's temperature will not reach 12°C on March 23.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the highest temperature in Seoul reaching 12°C on March 23, with a market probability of 98.9% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for 'YES', indicating some uncertainty but overall confidence in the 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in a 'NO' outcome for temperature prediction.
• 2 Current market probability suggests minimal chance of reaching 12°C.
• 3 Pulse AI indicates slightly higher uncertainty but still favors 'NO'.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding pressure to market dynamics.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.