Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 25?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 12°C in Seoul on March 25.

The prediction market shows a significant preference for the NO outcome, indicating that participants believe the highest temperature will not reach 12°C. With a market probability of 94.5% for NO and a relatively low confidence level of 55/100, there is some uncertainty, but overall sentiment leans heavily against the YES outcome.

• 1 Current market probability strongly favors NO at 94.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 8.5%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence in the market is moderate at 55/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited at 42 hours, adding urgency to predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.