Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 29?

The market strongly predicts the temperature in Seoul will not reach 12°C on March 29.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that the highest temperature in Seoul will not be 12°C on March 29, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the YES outcome. Given the confidence level of 65/100, there is moderate certainty in the market's assessment.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 12°C.
• 2 Current sentiment indicates low confidence in a YES outcome.
• 3 The time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.
• 5 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the NO prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.