Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 30?

The market strongly predicts that Seoul's temperature will not reach 12°C on March 30.

With a market probability of 0% for a 12°C high in Seoul, the consensus is firmly against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting strong confidence in the prediction. Given the edge of 1, the market appears to be accurately priced.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against a 12°C high.
• 2 Current weather forecasts do not support a rise to 12°C.
• 3 Historical temperature data for late March in Seoul shows lower averages.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is stable, reflecting confidence in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current data suggests little chance for change.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.