Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 13?

Market favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 13.

The prediction market indicates an 82.5% probability that the highest temperature in Seoul will be below 12°C on March 13. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 79.5%, suggesting a consensus on cooler conditions. With 9 hours until expiry and a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The gap between market and AI probabilities is minimal.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time pressure is a factor with only 9 hours until expiry.
• 5 Market appears to be fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.