Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 16?

Market favors temperatures below 12°C in Seoul on March 16.

The prediction market indicates a 64% probability that the highest temperature in Seoul will be below 12°C on March 16. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in sentiment. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, with a slightly higher probability for temperatures reaching 12°C or more.

• 1 Current market probability favors a NO outcome at 64%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment at 61% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.