Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 22?

Market favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 22.

The prediction market indicates a 77.5% likelihood that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 13°C on March 22. The Pulse AI aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a slightly higher chance for a YES outcome but still favoring NO. With 52 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability shows strong preference for NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Market edge suggests fair pricing with minimal arbitrage opportunities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.