Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?

Market favors a high of 13°C in Seoul on March 24 with a 63.5% probability.

The prediction market indicates a 63.5% chance that the highest temperature in Seoul will reach 13°C on March 24, which aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 60.5%. The market appears fairly priced, as indicated by the edge of -3, suggesting balanced sentiment among participants. With only 7 hours until expiry, the confidence level stands at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability favors YES at 63.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI's estimate is slightly lower at 60.5%.
• 3 Market is considered fairly priced with an edge of -3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 7 hours, increasing urgency.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.