Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?

Market favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 17.

The prediction market indicates an 83% probability that the highest temperature in Seoul will be below 13°C on March 17. With a confidence level of 65 out of 100, the market appears fairly priced, as the AI probability is close to the market's. The relatively low YES probability suggests a consensus on cooler weather expectations.

• 1 Current market probability strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 AI probability slightly supports the NO outcome as well.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the market's assessment.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the predictions.
• 5 Market appears to be liquid with active participation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.