Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 19?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 13°C in Seoul on March 19.

The prediction market indicates a very high probability (99.85%) that the highest temperature in Seoul will be below 13°C on March 19. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a warmer outcome. With only 6 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 13°C.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests strong confidence in cooler weather.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Seoul supports lower temperature outcomes.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 6 hours remaining until the market closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.