Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 20?

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 14°C in Seoul on March 20.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.95% for the temperature not reaching 14°C in Seoul on March 20. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, indicating a consensus on the expected weather conditions. With only 3 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a slight edge favoring the NO outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Historical weather patterns suggest temperatures rarely reach 14°C in March.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 3 hours until the market closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.