Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 29?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 14°C on March 29.

The current market probability indicates a complete consensus that the highest temperature in Seoul will not be 14°C on March 29, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slight chance for YES. Given the confidence level of 65/100, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% NO probability.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a minimal chance of reaching 14°C at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market movements.
• 5 Current weather trends do not support a rise to 14°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.