Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?

The market favors temperatures below 14°C in Seoul on March 22.

With a market probability of 68% for temperatures below 14°C, the consensus leans towards cooler weather. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a moderate confidence in this outcome. The edge indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a balanced perspective on the forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 14°C.
• 2 The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 3 Market probabilities are closely aligned with AI predictions, indicating consensus.
• 4 The time to expiry is short, which may increase volatility in responses to new data.
• 5 An edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced without significant misalignment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.