Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 26.

With a market probability of 96.9% for NO, participants largely expect the highest temperature in Seoul to be below 15°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 94.9% probability for NO, indicating a consensus on this forecast. The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in these predictions.

• 1 Market shows a strong preference for NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Current weather trends do not support a high temperature on the specified date.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.