Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 27?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 27.

With a market probability of 93.5% for NO, it indicates a strong expectation that the highest temperature will not reach 15°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting a consensus on this prediction. The confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in these forecasts.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a stable forecast for temperatures.
• 3 Historical data may support lower temperatures in late March.
• 4 Liquidity appears adequate for market participants.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 19 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.