Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 29?

The market is evenly split on whether Seoul's temperature will reach 15°C on March 29.

With a market probability of 44% for YES and 56% for NO, the predictions are closely contested. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 47%, indicating uncertainty around the expected temperature. The confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting the potential for fluctuations as the date approaches.

• 1 Market probability shows a slight lean towards NO at 56%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a narrow margin with 47% probability for YES.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate, suggesting uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 The time to expiry is short, which may increase volatility.
• 5 Current market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.