Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 30?

The market strongly predicts the temperature in Seoul will not reach 15°C on March 30.

With a market probability of 0% for a temperature of 15°C, the consensus is that this threshold will not be met. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability for 'YES', indicating a strong belief in the 'NO' outcome. Confidence in this prediction is rated at 80 out of 100, suggesting a high level of certainty among participants.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against reaching 15°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level indicates reliability in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 No liquidity concerns noted, suggesting stable market conditions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.