Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 15°C in Seoul on March 24.

Current market probabilities indicate a 94.5% likelihood that the highest temperature in Seoul will be below 15°C on March 24. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a warmer outcome. With 7 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus on temperatures remaining below 15°C.
• 2 Current sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 3 Historical data suggests March temperatures in Seoul often stay below this threshold.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with no major fluctuations in betting activity.
• 5 Time pressure is limited, with only 7 hours until the market closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.