Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 28.

Current market probabilities indicate a 90.5% likelihood that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 16°C on March 28. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with an 88.5% probability for the NO outcome, suggesting a consensus on the expected weather conditions. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability favors NO outcome significantly at 90.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 88.5%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 2 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 15 hours, increasing the urgency of any new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.