Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 19°C in Seoul on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.85% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 19°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly lower probabilities, indicating a strong belief in cooler weather conditions for that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures below 19°C.
• 2 Weather forecasts are crucial in shaping market expectations.
• 3 Historical data suggests that March temperatures in Seoul rarely exceed 19°C.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current odds.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 2 hours until the market expires.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.