Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 2°C in Seoul on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.95% for temperatures above 2°C, the consensus is that it is highly unlikely for the highest temperature to be 2°C or below. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for this outcome, indicating a strong belief in warmer conditions. The confidence level of 60 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 2°C.
• 2 Historical weather patterns in March suggest warmer temperatures in Seoul.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with only 25 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced relative to AI predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.