Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 18?

The market strongly favors that Seoul's temperature won't reach 4°C on March 18.

With a market probability of 0% for a 4°C temperature in Seoul, the consensus is that this threshold will not be met. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 1% probability for 'YES', indicating a strong belief in the 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against a 4°C high in Seoul.
• 2 Current data shows no indication of temperatures reaching this level.
• 3 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 80/100, suggesting strong agreement among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current forecasts do not support a temperature rise.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.