Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or below on March 22?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 4°C in Seoul on March 22.

The prediction market indicates a 99.85% probability that the highest temperature in Seoul will exceed 4°C on March 22. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 98.35%, suggesting a consensus that temperatures will be significantly higher than the threshold. The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures above 4°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher than market, indicating some divergence.
• 3 Confidence level of 60 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 52 hours remaining.
• 5 Edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.